Binomial Distribution

5.2 Binomial Distribution
ADDITIONAL MATHEMATICS • Form 5 • Chapter 5: Probability Distribution

5.2 Binomial Distribution

A binomial distribution arises from repeated Bernoulli trials where an experiment produces only two possible mutually exclusive outcomes: 'success' and 'failure'. In this topic, students explore how to identify binomial experiments, use the probability formula \(P(X = r) = {}^nC_r\, p^r q^{n-r}\), plot probability distribution graphs, determine the symmetry or skewness of distributions, and compute the mean (\(\mu\)), variance (\(\sigma^2\)), and standard deviation (\(\sigma\)).

Learning Objectives

  • Understand and state the characteristics of a Bernoulli trial and a binomial experiment.
  • Determine and calculate the probability of an event using the binomial distribution formula \(P(X = r) = {}^nC_r\, p^r q^{n-r}\).
  • Construct probability distribution tables and draw binomial probability distribution graphs.
  • Interpret the shape of binomial probability distribution graphs based on the value of \(p\) (\(p = 0.5\), \(p < 0.5\), or \(p > 0.5\)).
  • Calculate and interpret the mean (\(\mu = np\)), variance (\(\sigma^2 = npq\)), and standard deviation (\(\sigma = \sqrt{npq}\)) of a binomial distribution.
  • Solve real-world problems involving binomial distributions, including inequality conditions and minimum sample sizes.

Characteristics and Formulas of Binomial Distribution \(B(n, p)\)

An easy-to-read summary of the four key binomial conditions, the core probability formula, and the formulas for mean, variance, and standard deviation.

Characteristics and formulas of binomial distribution showing Bernoulli trial, binomial experiment, probability formula, mean, variance and standard deviation

Short Explanation

A Bernoulli trial is an experiment with exactly two mutually exclusive outcomes: 'success' (probability \(p\)) and 'failure' (probability \(q = 1 - p\)). When \(n\) independent and identical Bernoulli trials are performed, the experiment becomes a binomial experiment, written as \(X \sim B(n, p)\), where \(X\) denotes the number of successes.

1. Concept of Bernoulli Trial

A Bernoulli trial is an experiment that produces only two possible outcomes: 'success' and 'failure'. The probability of 'success' is \(p\), and the probability of 'failure' is \(q = 1 - p\), where \(0 < p < 1\). The discrete random variable \(X = \{0, 1\}\), where \(0\) represents 'failure' and \(1\) represents 'success'. An experiment with \(n = 1\) is a Bernoulli trial.

2. Binomial Experiment and Binomial Random Variable

An experiment consisting of \(n\) similar Bernoulli trials is known as a binomial experiment. The discrete random variable \(X\) represents the number of successes \(r\) obtained from \(n\) similar Bernoulli trials (\(r \in \{0, 1, 2, \dots, n\}\)). Notation: \(X \sim B(n, p)\).

3. Probability Formula for Binomial Distribution

For \(X \sim B(n, p)\), the binomial probability function is: \[P(X = r) = {}^nC_r\, p^r q^{n-r}, \quad r = 0, 1, 2, \dots, n\] where \(n\) = total number of trials, \(r\) = number of successful outcomes, \(p\) = probability of success in a single trial, \(q = 1 - p\) = probability of failure in a single trial, and \({}^nC_r\) = number of combinations of choosing \(r\) successes out of \(n\) trials.

4. Constructing Tables and Graphs of Binomial Distribution

A distribution table lists each discrete value \(r\) alongside its calculated probability \(P(X = r)\). A distribution graph displays values of \(r\) on the horizontal axis and \(P(X = r)\) on the vertical axis (represented as discrete vertical lines or spikes).

5. Mean, Variance, and Standard Deviation

Mean (Expected Value), \(\mu\): \(\mu = np\). Variance, \(\sigma^2\): \(\sigma^2 = npq\). Standard Deviation, \(\sigma\): \(\sigma = \sqrt{npq}\). Standard deviation is the square root of the variance because variance measures squared deviations from the mean.

6. Problem Solving Involving Binomial Distribution

In situations requiring the determination of a minimum sample size \(n\) satisfying an inequality such as \((1 - p)^n < k\): apply logarithms on both sides: \(n \log(1 - p) < \log k\). Since \(0 < (1 - p) < 1\), \(\log(1 - p)\) is a negative value. Dividing by \(\log(1 - p)\) reverses the inequality sign to \(n > \frac{\log k}{\log(1 - p)}\). Round up to the next integer to find the minimum value of \(n\).

Condition Formula / Rule Interpretation
Sum of probabilities \(\sum_{r=0}^{n} P(X = r) = 1\) The total probability for all possible values of \(X\) equals 1.
Complement rule \(P(X \ge 1) = 1 - P(X = 0)\) Useful for cumulative probabilities.
Graph shape when \(p = 0.5\) Symmetrical Probabilities are evenly balanced around the center.
Graph shape when \(p < 0.5\) Skewed to the left Not symmetrical.
Graph shape when \(p > 0.5\) Skewed to the right Not symmetrical.

Steps for Solving Minimum Sample Size Problems

1

Write the inequality in the form \((1 - p)^n < k\).

2

Apply logarithms on both sides: \(n \log(1 - p) < \log k\).

3

Divide by \(\log(1 - p)\), which is negative, and reverse the inequality sign.

4

Round up to the next integer to find the minimum value of \(n\).

Binomial probability formula

\(P(X = r) = {}^nC_r\, p^r q^{n-r}\)

For \(r = 0, 1, 2, \dots, n\).

Mean, variance and standard deviation

\(\mu = np, \quad \sigma^2 = npq, \quad \sigma = \sqrt{npq}\)

Use these to describe the distribution.

Try to Answer First

Answer in your mind, then press "Check Answer".

1

A discrete random variable \(X\) follows a binomial distribution \(X \sim B(5, 0.4)\). Find \(P(X = 2)\).

2

A binomial random variable \(X \sim B(n, p)\) has a mean of \(45\) and a standard deviation of \(3\). Find the values of \(n\) and \(p\).

3

In a survey, \(54\%\) of Malaysians buy locally made cars. If \(8\) people who just bought new cars are selected at random, write down the formula expression to calculate the probability that at least \(2\) of them bought locally made cars.

Common Mistakes

  • !Forgetting the combination term \({}^nC_r\): calculating only \(p^r q^{n-r}\) without multiplying by \({}^nC_r\), ignoring the number of different orders in which \(r\) successes can occur.
  • !Confusing the terms "at least" and "more than": "At least 2" means \(P(X \ge 2) = 1 - P(X \le 1)\). "More than 2" means \(P(X > 2) = 1 - P(X \le 2)\).
  • !Omitting the \(r = 0\) case: forgetting that the random variable \(X\) starts from \(0\) (zero successes) up to \(n\), not from \(1\).
  • !Failing to reverse the inequality sign when dividing by logs: when solving \((q)^n < k\), taking logs gives \(n \log q < \log k\). Since \(0 < q < 1\), \(\log q\) is negative; failing to reverse the inequality leads to an incorrect sign (\(n <\) instead of \(n >\)).

Concept Misunderstandings

Misunderstanding

Assuming every two-outcome experiment is binomial without checking independence: if items are selected without replacement from a small population, the probability changes from trial to trial, so it is not a binomial distribution.

Correct Concept

A binomial experiment requires \(n\) independent trials with a constant probability of success. If the probability changes from trial to trial, it is not binomial.

Misunderstanding

Treating trials with more than two categories as binomial: experiments resulting in win, draw, or lose (3 outcomes) are not Bernoulli trials or binomial unless two categories are combined into a single "success" / "failure" definition.

Correct Concept

A Bernoulli trial must have exactly two mutually exclusive outcomes. If there are more than two categories, they must be combined into two groups first.

Misunderstanding

Thinking the standard deviation is \(npq\): confusing variance (\(\sigma^2 = npq\)) with standard deviation (\(\sigma = \sqrt{npq}\)).

Correct Concept

Variance is \(\sigma^2 = npq\), while standard deviation is the positive square root of variance: \(\sigma = \sqrt{npq}\).

Summary

  • A Bernoulli trial has only two possible outcomes: success (\(p\)) and failure (\(q = 1 - p\)), where \(0 < p < 1\).
  • A binomial distribution \(X \sim B(n, p)\) consists of \(n\) independent, identical Bernoulli trials where \(p\) remains constant.
  • Probability mass function: \(P(X = r) = {}^nC_r\, p^r q^{n-r}\) for \(r = 0, 1, 2, \dots, n\).
  • Total probability condition: \(\sum_{r=0}^n P(X = r) = 1\).
  • Mean: \(\mu = np\). Variance: \(\sigma^2 = npq\). Standard deviation: \(\sigma = \sqrt{npq}\).
  • Graph shape: symmetrical when \(p = 0.5\); skewed and non-symmetrical when \(p \ne 0.5\).

Short Activity

Objective: Identify binomial experiments, calculate variance, and match key binomial distribution terms with their formulas or definitions.

A. Objective Quiz

1 Which of the following experiments represents a binomial experiment?

2 A discrete random variable \(X\) has a binomial distribution \(X \sim B(50, 0.2)\). What is the variance of \(X\)?

B. Fill in the Blanks

3 For a binomial distribution \(X \sim B(n, p)\), the mean \(\mu\) is given by the formula ________.

4 When the probability of success is \(p = 0.5\), the probability distribution graph of a binomial distribution is ________.

C. Matching / Drag and Drop

Drag each term to the correct formula or definition. On a phone, tap a term first, then tap the matching box.

Concept / Term
Mean (\(\mu\))
Variance (\(\sigma^2\))
Standard deviation (\(\sigma\))
Probability of failure (\(q\))
Sum of all probabilities
Bernoulli trial
Formula / Description
5\(np\)
6\(npq\)
7\(\sqrt{npq}\)
8\(1 - p\)
91
10An experiment that produces only two possible outcomes
Answer key: 1 C; 2 B; 3 np; 4 symmetrical; 5 Mean (\(\mu\)) → \(np\); 6 Variance (\(\sigma^2\)) → \(npq\); 7 Standard deviation (\(\sigma\)) → \(\sqrt{npq}\); 8 Probability of failure (\(q\)) → \(1 - p\); 9 Sum of all probabilities → 1; 10 Bernoulli trial → An experiment that produces only two possible outcomes.

Keywords

Bernoulli trial Binomial experiment Binomial random variable Probability of success (p) Probability of failure (q) Mean (mu) Variance (sigma squared) Standard deviation (sigma) Symmetrical graph

Binomial Distribution

5.2 Binomial Distribution
ADDITIONAL MATHEMATICS • Form 5 • Chapter 5: Probability Distribution

5.2 Binomial Distribution

A binomial distribution arises from repeated Bernoulli trials where an experiment produces only two possible mutually exclusive outcomes: 'success' and 'failure'. In this topic, students explore how to identify binomial experiments, use the probability formula \(P(X = r) = {}^nC_r\, p^r q^{n-r}\), plot probability distribution graphs, determine the symmetry or skewness of distributions, and compute the mean (\(\mu\)), variance (\(\sigma^2\)), and standard deviation (\(\sigma\)).

Learning Objectives

  • Understand and state the characteristics of a Bernoulli trial and a binomial experiment.
  • Determine and calculate the probability of an event using the binomial distribution formula \(P(X = r) = {}^nC_r\, p^r q^{n-r}\).
  • Construct probability distribution tables and draw binomial probability distribution graphs.
  • Interpret the shape of binomial probability distribution graphs based on the value of \(p\) (\(p = 0.5\), \(p < 0.5\), or \(p > 0.5\)).
  • Calculate and interpret the mean (\(\mu = np\)), variance (\(\sigma^2 = npq\)), and standard deviation (\(\sigma = \sqrt{npq}\)) of a binomial distribution.
  • Solve real-world problems involving binomial distributions, including inequality conditions and minimum sample sizes.

Characteristics and Formulas of Binomial Distribution \(B(n, p)\)

An easy-to-read summary of the four key binomial conditions, the core probability formula, and the formulas for mean, variance, and standard deviation.

Characteristics and formulas of binomial distribution showing Bernoulli trial, binomial experiment, probability formula, mean, variance and standard deviation

Short Explanation

A Bernoulli trial is an experiment with exactly two mutually exclusive outcomes: 'success' (probability \(p\)) and 'failure' (probability \(q = 1 - p\)). When \(n\) independent and identical Bernoulli trials are performed, the experiment becomes a binomial experiment, written as \(X \sim B(n, p)\), where \(X\) denotes the number of successes.

1. Concept of Bernoulli Trial

A Bernoulli trial is an experiment that produces only two possible outcomes: 'success' and 'failure'. The probability of 'success' is \(p\), and the probability of 'failure' is \(q = 1 - p\), where \(0 < p < 1\). The discrete random variable \(X = \{0, 1\}\), where \(0\) represents 'failure' and \(1\) represents 'success'. An experiment with \(n = 1\) is a Bernoulli trial.

2. Binomial Experiment and Binomial Random Variable

An experiment consisting of \(n\) similar Bernoulli trials is known as a binomial experiment. The discrete random variable \(X\) represents the number of successes \(r\) obtained from \(n\) similar Bernoulli trials (\(r \in \{0, 1, 2, \dots, n\}\)). Notation: \(X \sim B(n, p)\).

3. Probability Formula for Binomial Distribution

For \(X \sim B(n, p)\), the binomial probability function is: \[P(X = r) = {}^nC_r\, p^r q^{n-r}, \quad r = 0, 1, 2, \dots, n\] where \(n\) = total number of trials, \(r\) = number of successful outcomes, \(p\) = probability of success in a single trial, \(q = 1 - p\) = probability of failure in a single trial, and \({}^nC_r\) = number of combinations of choosing \(r\) successes out of \(n\) trials.

4. Constructing Tables and Graphs of Binomial Distribution

A distribution table lists each discrete value \(r\) alongside its calculated probability \(P(X = r)\). A distribution graph displays values of \(r\) on the horizontal axis and \(P(X = r)\) on the vertical axis (represented as discrete vertical lines or spikes).

5. Mean, Variance, and Standard Deviation

Mean (Expected Value), \(\mu\): \(\mu = np\). Variance, \(\sigma^2\): \(\sigma^2 = npq\). Standard Deviation, \(\sigma\): \(\sigma = \sqrt{npq}\). Standard deviation is the square root of the variance because variance measures squared deviations from the mean.

6. Problem Solving Involving Binomial Distribution

In situations requiring the determination of a minimum sample size \(n\) satisfying an inequality such as \((1 - p)^n < k\): apply logarithms on both sides: \(n \log(1 - p) < \log k\). Since \(0 < (1 - p) < 1\), \(\log(1 - p)\) is a negative value. Dividing by \(\log(1 - p)\) reverses the inequality sign to \(n > \frac{\log k}{\log(1 - p)}\). Round up to the next integer to find the minimum value of \(n\).

Condition Formula / Rule Interpretation
Sum of probabilities \(\sum_{r=0}^{n} P(X = r) = 1\) The total probability for all possible values of \(X\) equals 1.
Complement rule \(P(X \ge 1) = 1 - P(X = 0)\) Useful for cumulative probabilities.
Graph shape when \(p = 0.5\) Symmetrical Probabilities are evenly balanced around the center.
Graph shape when \(p < 0.5\) Skewed to the left Not symmetrical.
Graph shape when \(p > 0.5\) Skewed to the right Not symmetrical.

Steps for Solving Minimum Sample Size Problems

1

Write the inequality in the form \((1 - p)^n < k\).

2

Apply logarithms on both sides: \(n \log(1 - p) < \log k\).

3

Divide by \(\log(1 - p)\), which is negative, and reverse the inequality sign.

4

Round up to the next integer to find the minimum value of \(n\).

Binomial probability formula

\(P(X = r) = {}^nC_r\, p^r q^{n-r}\)

For \(r = 0, 1, 2, \dots, n\).

Mean, variance and standard deviation

\(\mu = np, \quad \sigma^2 = npq, \quad \sigma = \sqrt{npq}\)

Use these to describe the distribution.

Try to Answer First

Answer in your mind, then press "Check Answer".

1

A discrete random variable \(X\) follows a binomial distribution \(X \sim B(5, 0.4)\). Find \(P(X = 2)\).

2

A binomial random variable \(X \sim B(n, p)\) has a mean of \(45\) and a standard deviation of \(3\). Find the values of \(n\) and \(p\).

3

In a survey, \(54\%\) of Malaysians buy locally made cars. If \(8\) people who just bought new cars are selected at random, write down the formula expression to calculate the probability that at least \(2\) of them bought locally made cars.

Common Mistakes

  • !Forgetting the combination term \({}^nC_r\): calculating only \(p^r q^{n-r}\) without multiplying by \({}^nC_r\), ignoring the number of different orders in which \(r\) successes can occur.
  • !Confusing the terms "at least" and "more than": "At least 2" means \(P(X \ge 2) = 1 - P(X \le 1)\). "More than 2" means \(P(X > 2) = 1 - P(X \le 2)\).
  • !Omitting the \(r = 0\) case: forgetting that the random variable \(X\) starts from \(0\) (zero successes) up to \(n\), not from \(1\).
  • !Failing to reverse the inequality sign when dividing by logs: when solving \((q)^n < k\), taking logs gives \(n \log q < \log k\). Since \(0 < q < 1\), \(\log q\) is negative; failing to reverse the inequality leads to an incorrect sign (\(n <\) instead of \(n >\)).

Concept Misunderstandings

Misunderstanding

Assuming every two-outcome experiment is binomial without checking independence: if items are selected without replacement from a small population, the probability changes from trial to trial, so it is not a binomial distribution.

Correct Concept

A binomial experiment requires \(n\) independent trials with a constant probability of success. If the probability changes from trial to trial, it is not binomial.

Misunderstanding

Treating trials with more than two categories as binomial: experiments resulting in win, draw, or lose (3 outcomes) are not Bernoulli trials or binomial unless two categories are combined into a single "success" / "failure" definition.

Correct Concept

A Bernoulli trial must have exactly two mutually exclusive outcomes. If there are more than two categories, they must be combined into two groups first.

Misunderstanding

Thinking the standard deviation is \(npq\): confusing variance (\(\sigma^2 = npq\)) with standard deviation (\(\sigma = \sqrt{npq}\)).

Correct Concept

Variance is \(\sigma^2 = npq\), while standard deviation is the positive square root of variance: \(\sigma = \sqrt{npq}\).

Summary

  • A Bernoulli trial has only two possible outcomes: success (\(p\)) and failure (\(q = 1 - p\)), where \(0 < p < 1\).
  • A binomial distribution \(X \sim B(n, p)\) consists of \(n\) independent, identical Bernoulli trials where \(p\) remains constant.
  • Probability mass function: \(P(X = r) = {}^nC_r\, p^r q^{n-r}\) for \(r = 0, 1, 2, \dots, n\).
  • Total probability condition: \(\sum_{r=0}^n P(X = r) = 1\).
  • Mean: \(\mu = np\). Variance: \(\sigma^2 = npq\). Standard deviation: \(\sigma = \sqrt{npq}\).
  • Graph shape: symmetrical when \(p = 0.5\); skewed and non-symmetrical when \(p \ne 0.5\).

Short Activity

Objective: Identify binomial experiments, calculate variance, and match key binomial distribution terms with their formulas or definitions.

A. Objective Quiz

1 Which of the following experiments represents a binomial experiment?

2 A discrete random variable \(X\) has a binomial distribution \(X \sim B(50, 0.2)\). What is the variance of \(X\)?

B. Fill in the Blanks

3 For a binomial distribution \(X \sim B(n, p)\), the mean \(\mu\) is given by the formula ________.

4 When the probability of success is \(p = 0.5\), the probability distribution graph of a binomial distribution is ________.

C. Matching / Drag and Drop

Drag each term to the correct formula or definition. On a phone, tap a term first, then tap the matching box.

Concept / Term
Mean (\(\mu\))
Variance (\(\sigma^2\))
Standard deviation (\(\sigma\))
Probability of failure (\(q\))
Sum of all probabilities
Bernoulli trial
Formula / Description
5\(np\)
6\(npq\)
7\(\sqrt{npq}\)
8\(1 - p\)
91
10An experiment that produces only two possible outcomes
Answer key: 1 C; 2 B; 3 np; 4 symmetrical; 5 Mean (\(\mu\)) → \(np\); 6 Variance (\(\sigma^2\)) → \(npq\); 7 Standard deviation (\(\sigma\)) → \(\sqrt{npq}\); 8 Probability of failure (\(q\)) → \(1 - p\); 9 Sum of all probabilities → 1; 10 Bernoulli trial → An experiment that produces only two possible outcomes.

Keywords

Bernoulli trial Binomial experiment Binomial random variable Probability of success (p) Probability of failure (q) Mean (mu) Variance (sigma squared) Standard deviation (sigma) Symmetrical graph